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How to model performance that varies through the year
The problem: you want to model performance that varies through the year, such as higher lengths of stay and bed occupancy for medical emergencies in winter.
The solution: split the service into two parts one with “winter” performance and a demand profile that concentrates it in winter, the other with “summer” performance and a demand profile that concentrates it in summer. It may be that there is a natural split (e.g. respiratory medicine vs the rest of medicine that would reflect the differing performance automatically, or alternatively the split could be created artificially. Either way, that would give the differing ALOS and occupancy profiles that were wanted.Return